Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.247677 0.285800 0.327614 0.376851 0.433214 0.495694 0.570185
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.190146 0.240332 0.300297 0.377112 0.472787 0.587925 0.736912
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.148483 0.204035 0.275822 0.375109 0.508597 0.681567 0.922442
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.118483 0.175968 0.255842 0.374416 0.545416 0.782469 1.135382
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.096745 0.154462 0.240244 0.376196 0.585322 0.893715 1.381678
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081820 0.139714 0.231297 0.385475 0.637120 1.029810 1.686652
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067938 0.123612 0.217008 0.383406 0.670471 1.142651 1.974259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058855 0.113603 0.210590 0.392690 0.723303 1.294062 2.347908
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049485 0.101083 0.197380 0.387449 0.749687 1.404334 2.668203
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043264 0.093192 0.191025 0.393338 0.796689 1.557208 3.087243
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036441 0.082659 0.177611 0.383034 0.810810 1.650993 3.409556
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032984 0.078480 0.176114 0.396296 0.873478 1.846337 3.957489
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029991 0.074826 0.175293 0.411362 0.943511 2.068996 4.599478
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026251 0.068666 0.167883 0.410700 0.979779 2.227726 5.133139
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022940 0.062837 0.160146 0.407896 1.010824 2.380020 5.676694
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020214 0.057897 0.153599 0.406723 1.045463 2.545447 6.275195
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018015 0.053874 0.148564 0.408367 1.087165 2.733231 6.954130
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016469 0.051325 0.146843 0.418217 1.151018 2.982837 7.818559
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014620 0.047481 0.140937 0.415849 1.182970 3.159295 8.528985
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013452 0.045425 0.139591 0.425802 1.249430 3.432110 9.524382
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011907 0.041833 0.133155 0.420076 1.271858 3.594399 10.255372
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010909 0.039793 0.130940 0.426403 1.329622 3.859197 11.300876
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009561 0.036250 0.123427 0.415236 1.334459 3.980248 11.968634